FanBoardHQ

Florida Atlantic

Florida Atlantic University · 2025 · American Athletic

FanBoardHQ CFP
#107
Efficiency
-10.1
101st FBS
Record
4-8
Conf. record
3-5
Conf. finish
T-9th
of 14
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Florida Atlantic went 4-8 and was ranked 107th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 60th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 130th-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 64% of offensive plays with a 69th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 36% of plays with a 104th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
0-2
Q3
0-3
Q4
4-2

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 4.0 wins
Strength of Record
108th
-5.4 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
86th
full season
86th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
68th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.9 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ MarylandBig Ten#94L 739-12.10%-28.9Q3
2vs Florida A&MSWACW 5614+37.4100%10.2Q4
3@ FIUConference USA#89L 2838-0.70%-18.4Q4
5vs MemphisAmerican Athletic#58L 2655-10.40%-21.1Q3
6@ RiceAmerican Athletic#106W 2721+3.5100%-6.1Q4
7vs UABAmerican Athletic#118W 5333+9.0100%11.2Q4
8@ South FloridaAmerican Athletic#30L 1348-27.10%-11.9Q1
9@ NavyAmerican Athletic#24L 3242-16.60%-12.0Q2
11vs TulsaAmerican Athletic#109W 4021+2.2100%9.8Q4
12@ TulaneAmerican Athletic#26L 2435-17.80%-5.1Q2
13vs UConnFBS Independents#69L 4548-3.40%-11.4Q4
14vs East CarolinaAmerican Athletic#42L 342-14.50%-40.3Q3

12 played · 4-8. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Florida Atlantic, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-36.1-14.5+7.1-2910-18-21-611-12-1210-5-11-40Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 69th
SR 81stYPP 69thEPA 69th
RushingEff 104th
SR 105thYPP 112thEPA 102nd
Defense
Pass defenseEff 91st
SR 106thYPP 89thEPA 88th
Rush defenseEff 128th
SR 127thYPP 115thEPA 135th
Dropback rate 64%Tempo +0.9 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 85th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 42%1st · Defense allowed: 47%1st2nd · Offense: 38%2nd · Defense allowed: 40%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 45%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 46%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 102.0Q1 · Allowed: 97.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 99.0Q2 · Allowed: 120.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 34.0Q3 · Allowed: 79.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 79.0Q4 · Allowed: 110.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledFlorida AtlanticOffenseDefense
Florida Atlantic Offense vs Defense, 2025
Offensive EffRanked 60th
+0.8
Field position: +1.1Finishing drives: -0.4
Field position +1.1Finishing drives -0.4= +0.8
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 28th · Finishing 67th

Defensive EffRanked 130th
-11.4
Field position: -1.4Finishing drives: -10.0
Field position -1.4Finishing drives -10.0= -11.4
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 112th · Finishing 128th

2.21 points per drive on offense, 2.78 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 31.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(212)64% / 36%40%6.6
Q2(224)66% / 34%47%7.0
Q3(183)67% / 33%33%4.7
Q4(277)63% / 37%44%5.3
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(240)10.245%6.7
2nd(174)9.037%6.6
3rd(124)8.133%5.6
4th(42)5.364%10.9
All (580)42%6.7
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(142)9.936%3.9
2nd(97)7.140%4.8
3rd(59)5.549%5.5
4th(18)1.672%3.3
All (316)42%4.5

Florida Atlantic, all games.